Exportação em diferentes agregações

Exportação em diferentes agregações

Eva Smotlachová

35,76 €
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Editorial:
KS OmniScriptum Publishing
Año de edición:
2025
Materia
Negocios internacionales
ISBN:
9786202221917
35,76 €
IVA incluido
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O trabalho concentra-se na estimativa dos determinantes da exportação checa. A principal novidade da pesquisa consiste na estimativa dos fluxos de exportação em três níveis diferentes de agregação (total, maquinaria, automóveis) e na comparação subsequente dos resultados. Um modelo de gravidade aumentado é implementado para a pesquisa empírica e estimado com o uso de mínimos quadrados ordinários (incluindo variáveis dummy de tempo ou país) e estimadores de máxima verossimilhança pseudo-Poisson. Consequentemente, o trabalho propõe a comparação com base nas estimativas de Poisson devido às fraquezas incontestáveis do estimador OLS. Além disso, os modelos são especificados com base em séries temporais e estruturas transversais, e os diferentes resultados obtidos comprovam a importância de identificar a estrutura dos dados do painel. Os modelos previstos revelam que as exportações totais e de maquinaria seguem as mesmas tendências, enquanto o desenvolvimento das exportações de automóveis checos difere e evolui num caminho idiossincrático. A análise aponta, portanto, para a inconsistência de fatores cruciais que determinam as exportações em diferentes níveis de agregação.

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