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Inflação na República Democrática do Congo

Inflação na República Democrática do Congo

HENRY-LUC LABY MPIANA BOKETSHU

65,61 €
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Editorial:
KS OmniScriptum Publishing
Año de edición:
2025
Materia
Empresa y gestión
ISBN:
9786208940195
65,61 €
IVA incluido
Disponible

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O objetivo do presente estudo é identificar os factores determinantes da inflação na República Democrática do Congo. Através de uma modelização analítica do nível geral dos preços e de algumas variáveis susceptíveis de influenciar o aumento dos preços, com base numa metodologia que combina progressivamente um teste de raiz unitária, um teste de cointegração e a utilização de um modelo vetorial de correção de erros, obtemos os seguintes resultados 1˚) No curto prazo, o aumento dos preços é explicado pela evolução das crónicas desfasadas de um ano, pela oferta monetária (M2) em sentido lato, pela taxa de câmbio do dólar americano face ao franco congolês e pelo PIB; 2˚) No longo prazo, as flutuações dos preços na República Democrática do Congo estão correlacionadas com a evolução dos preços dos produtos nos mercados internacionais, com a evolução do PIB nominal, com a desvalorização da moeda nacional e com a crónica desfasada dos preços praticados no mercado interno. Estes resultados levam-nos a concluir que a inflação na República Democrática do Congo é de origem híbrida, ou seja, de origem simultaneamente monetária e não monetária, uma vez que é causada pela oferta de moeda, pela taxa de câmbio e pela taxa de câmbio da moeda.

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