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Why Fiscal Stimulus Programs Fail, Volume 2

Why Fiscal Stimulus Programs Fail, Volume 2

John J. Heim

155,14 €
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Editorial:
Springer Nature B.V.
Año de edición:
2021
Materia
Macroeconomía
ISBN:
9783030647261

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This book scientifically tests the assertion that accommodative monetary policy can eliminate the 'crowd out' problem, allowing fiscal stimulus programs (such as tax cuts or increased government spending) to stimulate the economy as intended. It also tests to see if natural growth in th economy can cure the crowd out problem as well or better. The book is intended to be the largest scale scientific test ever performed on this topic. It includes about 800 separate statistical tests on the U.S. economy testing different parts or all of the period 1960 - 2010. These tests focus on whether accommodative monetary policy, which increases the pool of loanable resources, can offset the crowd out problem as well as natural growth in the economy. The book, employing the best scientific methods available to economists for this type of problem, concludes accommodate monetary policy could have, but until the quantitative easing program, Federal Reserve efforts to accommodate fiscal stimulus programs were not large enough to offset more than 23% to 44% of any one year’s crowd out problem. That provides the science part of the answer as to why accommodative monetary policy didn’t accommodate: too little of it was tried. The book also tests whether other increases in loanable funds, occurring because of natural growth in the economy or changes in the savings rate can also offset crowd out.  It concludes they can, and that these changes tend to be several times as effective as accommodative monetary policy.  This book’s companion volume Why Fiscal Stimulus Programs Fail explores the policy implications of these results.

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Otros libros del autor

  • Why Fiscal Stimulus Programs Fail, Volume 1
    John J. Heim
    This book offers a series of statistical tests to determine if the 'crowd out' problem, known to hinder the effectiveness of Keynesian economic stimulus programs, can be overcome by monetary programs. It concludes there are programs that can do this, specifically 'accommodative monetary policy.'  They were not used to any great extent prior to the Quantitative Easing program in...
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  • Why Fiscal Stimulus Programs Fail, Volume 2
    John J. Heim
    This book scientifically tests the assertion that accommodative monetary policy can eliminate the 'crowd out' problem, allowing fiscal stimulus programs (such as tax cuts or increased government spending) to stimulate the economy as intended. It also tests to see if natural growth in th economy can cure the crowd out problem as well or better. The book is intended to be the lar...
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  • Why Fiscal Stimulus Programs Fail, Volume 1
    John J. Heim
    This book offers a series of statistical tests to determine if the 'crowd out' problem, known to hinder the effectiveness of Keynesian economic stimulus programs, can be overcome by monetary programs. It concludes there are programs that can do this, specifically 'accommodative monetary policy.'  They were not used to any great extent prior to the Quantitative Easing program in...
  • An Econometric Model of the US Economy
    John J. Heim
    This book explores the US economy from 1960 to 2010 using a more Keynsian, Cowles model approach, which the author argues has substantial advantages over the vector autoregression (VAR) and dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models used almost exclusively today. Heim presents a robust argument in favor of the Cowles model as an answer to the pressing, unresolved meth...
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  • Crowding Out Fiscal Stimulus
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    This book presents overwhelming evidence that US government stimulus programs over the past fifty years have not worked. Using the best and most modern econometric testing models, it applies 228 separate hard science tests to examine the effects of different stimulus models that should, in theory, have shown positive results. By testing every possible alternative interpretation...
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  • Crowding Out Fiscal Stimulus
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    This book presents overwhelming evidence that US government stimulus programs over the past fifty years have not worked. Using the best and most modern econometric testing models, it applies 228 separate hard science tests to examine the effects of different stimulus models that should, in theory, have shown positive results. By testing every possible alternative interpretation...
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