UNDERSTANDING AND CALCULATING THE ODDS

UNDERSTANDING AND CALCULATING THE ODDS

UNDERSTANDING AND CALCULATING THE ODDS

Catalin Barboianu

31,61 €
IVA incluido
Recíbelo en 3 días
Editorial:
INFAROM
Año de edición:
2006
ISBN:
9789738752016
Páginas:
224
Encuadernación:
Otros
31,61 €
IVA incluido
Recíbelo en 3 días

Selecciona una librería:

Man’s daily life is full of decisional situations. Whether we have math skills or not, we frequently estimate and compare probabilities, sometimes without realizing it, especially when making decisions. But probabilities are not just simple numbers attached objectively or subjectively to events, as they perhaps look, and their calculus and usage is highly predisposed to qualitative or quantitative errors in the absence of proper knowledge. That is why a book explaining the probability concept and its interpretations and applications for non-mathematicians is a necessity. This is an enlightening journey through the world of probability theory. Its multiple goals are to help the reader understand what probability really means, to teach the reader how to rigorously perform and apply the probability calculus, even without a solid mathematical background, and to stimulate the reader to go deeper into the notions involved. In the first part, the author tries to build a clear image of the probability concept by reconstructing its mathematical definition step by step through its constituent notions. It starts with a general presentation of the conceptual ensemble word - definition - notion - model any theory is based on when trying to reproduce reality. Then, the probability notion is defined and explained starting from the classical definition to the definition for the countable case; then probability is presented as a limit and as a measure. This book presents not only the mathematical concept of probability, but also its philosophical aspects, the relativity of probability and its applications and even the psychology of probability. All explanations are made in a comprehensible manner and are supported with suggestive examples from nature and daily life and even with challenging math paradoxes. After these points are laid out the math chapter follows. It contains all the notions and principal theoretical results that ground Probability Theory, starting with fundamental notions like Sets, Functions, Boole algebras, and Sequences, and continuing with Measure Theory Basics - Tribes, Borel sets, Measurable spaces, and Measure, ending with Field of events, Sigma-fields, Probability, Conditional probability, Discrete random variables, Classical probability distributions, and Convergence. And, of course, it includes all important theorems and results dealing with them. A special section is dedicated to Combinatorics and combinatorial calculus. Readers with no minimal mathematical background may choose to skip this chapter because the teaching material is structured for developing probability calculus skills based on algorithmic procedures. This is the subject of the chapter titled Beginners’ Calculus Guide, in which the reader is taught to apply the properties of probability and to perform calculations in practical applications. The skills acquired here can be practiced on the more than 200 solved and unsolved problems and exercises in the book. Everyone should find something of interest here: philosophers and mathematicians may focus on the sections on philosophical matters of the probability model and decisional matters, students and non-mathematicians can find solid A to Z teaching material about Probability Theory and the practical person can find all the tools needed to apply and perform probability calculus without a teacher. 3

Artículos relacionados

  • Pattern Recognition and Classification in Time Series Data
    ...
    Recíbelo en 3 días

    214,23 €

  • ENGINEERING UNCERTAINTY AND RISK ANALYSIS
    Sergio E. Serrano
    An integrated coverage of probability, statistics, Monte Carlo simulation, inferential statistics, design of experiments, systems reliability, fitting random data to models, analysis of variance, stochastic processes, and stochastic differential equations for engineers and scientists. The author for first time presents an introduction to the broad field of applied engineering u...
    Recíbelo en 3 días

    134,56 €

  • Dialogues Around Models and Uncertainty
    Pauline Barrieu
    This book helps develop a better understanding of how researchers from different scientific backgrounds view models and uncertainty. It provides key steps in fostering and encouraging interdisciplinary research, which is vital in addressing several big issues that society faces today, such as climate change, longevity, financial and actuarial risk management. To make progress i...
    Recíbelo en 3 días

    154,12 €

  • An Introduction to Basic Statistics for Biologists using R
    Colin D MacLeod / Ross Macleod
    This is the first volume in the Practical Statistics for Biologists Workbooks series. It provides biologists with an easy-to-follow introduction to conducting statistical analysis in R. It does this through a series of practical exercises based on easy-to-follow flow diagrams that show biologists exactly how to do a variety of key tasks.These include: 1. Importing data sets and...
    Recíbelo en 3 días

    37,15 €

  • A new hybrid exponentially weighted moving average control chart
    Hafiz Zain Pervaiz / Syed Muhammad Muslim Raza
    We have proposed a New Hybrid Exponentially Weighted Moving Average HEWMA control chart. The proposed control chart is based on a mixture ratio estimator of the mean using a single auxiliary variable and a single auxiliary attribute (Moeen et al., 2012). We call it as Z- HEWMA control chart. The proposed control chart performance is evaluated using out-of-control-Average Run Le...
    Recíbelo en 3 días

    57,90 €

  • A Diameter Distribution Yield Prediction
    Yan Myo Naing
    A parameter recovery procedure was applied to characterize the parameters for the Weibull distribution function based on four percentile methods and two hybrid methods which were the combination of diameter percentiles and moment methods. The procedure was used to develop a diameter distribution yield prediction for teak stands in Taungoo District of Myanmar. All the methods we...
    Recíbelo en 3 días

    57,71 €

Otros libros del autor

  • Texas Hold’em Poker Odds for Your Strategy, with Probability-Based Hand Analyses
    Catalin Barboianu
    In the flop stage, what are your odds of achieving a straight by river and what are the odds of your opponents achieving something higher? If you will achieve the straight, what are the new odds of your opponents beating it in the river stage? How about the full house? How strong is your hand from mathematical point of view and how can you use this information in your play? Thi...
    Recíbelo en 3 días

    26,11 €

  • What is Mathematics
    Catalin Barboianu
    This is not a mathematics book, but a book about mathematics, which addresses both student and teacher, with a goal as practical as possible, namely to initiate and smooth the way toward the student’s full understanding of the mathematics taught in school. The customary procedural-formal approach to teaching mathematics has resulted in students’ distorted vision of mathematics ...
    Recíbelo en 3 días

    48,43 €

  • CE ESTE MATEMATICA
    Catalin Barboianu
    Aceasta nu este o carte de matematică, ci una despre matematică, care se adresează elevului sau studentului, dar şi dascălului său, cu un scop cât se poate de practic, anume acela de a iniţia şi netezi calea către înţelegerea completă a matematicii predate în şcoală.Tradiţia predării matematicii într-o abordare preponderent procedural-formală a avut ca efect o viziune deformată...
    Recíbelo en 3 días

    35,45 €

  • FILOSOFIA APLICABILITATII MATEMATICII
    Catalin Barboianu
    Lucrarea tratează unul dintre “misterele” filosofiei analitice şi ale raţionalităţii însăşi, anume aplicabilitatea matematicii în ştiinţe şi în investigarea matematică a realităţii înconjurătoare, a cărei filosofie este dezvoltată în jurul sintagmei – de acum paradigmatice – ‘eficacitatea iraţională a matematicii’, aparţinând fizicianului Eugene Wigner, problemă filosofică etic...
    Recíbelo en 3 días

    29,80 €

  • Rolul constitutiv al matematicii in stiinta structurala
    Catalin Barboianu
                Problemele filosofie sensibile pe care le pune aplicabilitatea matematicii în ştiinţe şi viaţa de zi cu zi au conturat, pe un fond interdisciplinar, o nouă “ramură” a filosofiei ştiinţei, anume filosofia aplicabilităţii matematicii. Aplicarea cu succes a matematicii de-a lungul istoriei ştiinţei necesită reprezentare, încadrare, explicaţie, dar şi o justificare de o...
    Recíbelo en 3 días

    15,41 €

  • Cladirile vechi din Craiova contemporana
    Catalin Barboianu
    Un inventar în imagini al clădirilor vechi din Craiova - peste 1100 imagini într-un album color nostalgic, care vă invită să vă delectaţi ochiul şi spiritul cu imaginile contemporane ale vestigiilor arhitecturale ale Craiovei vechi.Craiova, oraş vechi, cu o arhitectură impresionantă, deşi puternic marcat de calamităţi de-a lungul istoriei sale - cutremure, incendii, războaie şi...
    Recíbelo en 3 días

    70,90 €